Shashank Joshi assessed that the likelihood of liberating Crimea in the next 12 months is very low, with no direct military route through ground offensive; liberation may require a larger settlement.

Likelihood of liberating Crimea in next 12 months is very low

Iryna Farion published the student's email containing his full name and other personal information, which was then used by Russian law enforcement to interrogate him.

The Russian Ministry's Main Directorate for Countering Extremism is dealing with the student, his friends, and teachers.

Maksym Hlebov, a first-year language student at the university in Simferopol sent Iryna Farion a message of support on her social media channel

Iryna Farion reposted the missive on her Telegram channel alongside her thanks, failing to hide his name

Alexander Talipov, described as a professional informer and former Ukrainian border guard, identified the student

Hlebov was arrested and made to post a video on Telegram in which he apologized and renounced his views